{"id":55386,"date":"2026-04-27T15:48:09","date_gmt":"2026-04-27T12:48:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dev4xc.wpenginepowered.com\/?post_type=fxc_capital_markets&#038;p=55386"},"modified":"2026-04-27T15:51:08","modified_gmt":"2026-04-27T12:51:08","slug":"gold-bitcoin-selloff-ahead","status":"publish","type":"fxc_capital_markets","link":"https:\/\/4xc.com\/pt-br\/news\/capital-markets-outlook\/gold-bitcoin-selloff-ahead\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold &amp; Bitcoin : Selloff Ahead"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<style>\n.fxc-block-bias {\ndisplay: flex;\nmargin-bottom: -16px !important;\n}\n<\/style>\n\n\n<div class=\"fxc-key-takeaways-block\" style=\"background-color: #f5f5f5;\"><h3>KEY POINTS<\/h3><ul class=\"fxc-takeaways-list\"><li>Oil remains elevated, reinforcing inflation expectations and delaying rate cuts<\/li><li>Yields are stable to higher, confirming the higher-for-longer macro regime<\/li><li>Gold is failing to rally on geopolitical risk \u2014 a critical bearish signal<\/li><li>USD remains firm, adding additional pressure on gold prices<\/li><li>Nasdaq strength confirms no real risk-off environment is priced<\/li><li>Bitcoin is tracking equities, making earnings the key driver this week<\/li><\/ul><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:14px\">Gold is not trading geopolitical risk as a bullish catalyst \u2014 it is trading it through the inflation channel. The current market environment is dominated by:\u2028\u2028<br><br>\ud83d\udc49 <strong>Oil strength \u2192 Inflation fears \u2192 Elevated yields \u2192 Higher-for-longer rates \u2192 Gold sell off.\u2028<\/strong>\u2028<br><br>Despite ongoing Middle East tensions, gold continues to struggle because the bond market is not pricing easing \u2014 it is pricing persistence in inflation.<br><br>At the same time, Bitcoin remains tightly linked to Nasdaq performance, with <strong><u>this week\u2019s major tech earnings<\/u><\/strong> acting as the key directional catalyst.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-wide\"\/>\n\n\n<div class=\"fxc-block-asset-header\"><div class=\"fxc-block-asset-header__icons\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"fxc-block-asset-header__icon-combined\" src=\"https:\/\/4xc.com\/wp-content\/themes\/fxc\/inc\/assets\/icons\/asset-gold-usd.svg\" alt=\"\" width=\"35\" height=\"35\" \/><\/div><div class=\"fxc-block-asset-header__title\">Gold (xauusd)<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:14px\">The key mistake in this market is assuming that geopolitics automatically supports gold. That is not what price action is showing.<br><br>Instead, the market is clearly pricing the conflict through the inflation channel. Oil remains elevated despite intermittent de-escalation headlines, which tells you that supply risk is still embedded in pricing. This feeds directly into inflation expectations and keeps the bond market anchored at higher yield levels.<br>\u2028<br>As the data from last week confirms, gold sold off aggressively even with geopolitical tension elevated \u2014 a clear indication that the rate narrative is overriding safe-haven demand.<br>\u2028<br>This is the critical signal. If gold cannot rally in a high-risk geopolitical environment, it means:\u2028<br>\ud83d\udc49 <strong>The dominant force is yields, not fear<\/strong><br><br>The current macro transmission remains intact:<br>\ud83d\udc49 <strong>Oil \u2192 Inflation \u2192 Yields \u2192 USD \u2192 Gold pressure\u2028<\/strong>\u2028<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:14px\">As long as this chain holds, gold rallies will continue to lack follow-through and will be treated as liquidity opportunities rather than trend continuation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"524\" src=\"https:\/\/4xc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/gold-27-04-1024x524.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-55387\" srcset=\"https:\/\/4xc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/gold-27-04-1024x524.png 1024w, https:\/\/4xc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/gold-27-04-300x153.png 300w, https:\/\/4xc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/gold-27-04-768x393.png 768w, https:\/\/4xc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/gold-27-04.png 1124w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Chart 1: XAUUSD Outlook (Source: The AlphaFX, TradingView, 2026)&nbsp;<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-group\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><strong>Gold Technical analysis<\/strong><\/strong><br><br>\u2022 Clear bearish channel structure remains intact<br>\u2022 Price is consolidating after breakdown \u2014 not reversing<br>\u2022 Lower highs still define the trend<br>\u2022 Resistance sits around 4,730\u20134,780<br>\u2022 Support at 4,670 \u2192 4,650 \u2192 4,620<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-group\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u27a1 This is consolidation within a bearish structure, not accumulation.<br>\u27a1 Trend remains unclear \/ corrective, not bullish.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\"><div class=\"fxc-block-bias\"><div class=\"fxc-block-bias__icon\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><mask id=\"mask0_bias_bearish\" style=\"mask-type:alpha\" maskUnits=\"userSpaceOnUse\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\"><rect width=\"24\" height=\"24\" fill=\"#D9D9D9\"\/><\/mask><g mask=\"url(#mask0_bias_bearish)\"><path d=\"M16.1603 12.7942L16.8923 15.5263L15.8923 17.2583L11.5622 14.7583L8.56218 19.9545L7.19615 20.3205L6.83013 18.9545L9.83013 13.7583L5.5 11.2583L6.5 9.52628L9.23205 8.79423L12.7321 2.73205L11.866 2.23205L12.866 0.5L21.5263 5.5L20.5263 7.23205L19.6603 6.73205L16.1603 12.7942ZM8.96817 10.9513L14.4241 14.1013L14.0032 12.5304L17.9282 5.73205L14.4641 3.73205L10.5391 10.5304L8.96817 10.9513Z\" fill=\"#EF4444\"\/><\/g><\/svg><\/div><div class=\"fxc-block-bias__label\"><b>Bias: Bearish \/ Sell Rallies<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Yields remain elevated<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Oil remains firm<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>USD remains supported<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>No positive response to geopolitical risk<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-default\"\/>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-steel-grey-100-color has-alpha-channel-opacity has-steel-grey-100-background-color has-background is-style-wide\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-default\"\/>\n\n\n<div class=\"fxc-block-asset-header\"><div class=\"fxc-block-asset-header__icons\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"fxc-block-asset-header__icon-combined\" src=\"https:\/\/4xc.com\/wp-content\/themes\/fxc\/inc\/assets\/icons\/asset-btc-usd.svg\" alt=\"\" width=\"35\" height=\"35\" \/><\/div><div class=\"fxc-block-asset-header__title\">Bitcoin (BTCusd)<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bitcoin is not trading as a standalone asset \u2014 it is trading as a high-beta extension of Nasdaq.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That puts the focus directly on:<br>\ud83d\udc49<strong> Earnings<\/strong><br>\u2028<br>If earnings confirm strong demand and sustained AI investment, risk appetite remains supported and Bitcoin can extend higher.\u2028\u2028<br><br>If earnings disappoint or signal margin pressure, the unwind in tech will directly translate into downside pressure on BTC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>At the same time, macro conditions remain restrictive:<br><\/strong><br>\u2022 Elevated yields<br>\u2022 Tight liquidity<br>\u2022 Strong USD<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This limits upside momentum and increases sensitivity to negative surprises. So Bitcoin is not trading conviction. It is trading flows.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"527\" src=\"https:\/\/4xc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/btc-27-04-1024x527.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-55391\" srcset=\"https:\/\/4xc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/btc-27-04-1024x527.png 1024w, https:\/\/4xc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/btc-27-04-300x155.png 300w, https:\/\/4xc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/btc-27-04-768x396.png 768w, https:\/\/4xc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/btc-27-04.png 1124w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Chart 2: Bitcoin Outlook (Source: The AlphaFX, TradingView, 2026)&nbsp;<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<style>\ndiv#bottom-line {\n    border-radius: 10px;\n    border: 1px solid var(--Web-colors-Steel-Grey-100, #D0D5DD);\n    background: var(--Web-colors-Off-White, #F9F9F9);\n    padding: 30px 30px 10px;\n    min-height: auto !important;\n}\n.nodot{\nlist-style:none !important\n}\n\n.fxc-single-content h5 {\n    margin: 28px 0 14px;\n<\/style>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Technical Analysis (Bitcoin)<\/strong><br><br>\u2022 Price is moving within a rising corrective channel<br>\u2022 No clean breakout structure yet<br>\u2022 Resistance around 78K\u201380K<br>\u2022 Support sits near 73K\u201371K<br>\u2022 Breakdown opens path toward deeper downside (toward 60K zone)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u27a1 Structure = corrective, not impulsive<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\"><div class=\"fxc-block-bias\"><div class=\"fxc-block-bias__icon\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><mask id=\"mask0_bias_neutral\" style=\"mask-type:alpha\" maskUnits=\"userSpaceOnUse\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\"><rect width=\"24\" height=\"24\" fill=\"#D9D9D9\"\/><\/mask><g mask=\"url(#mask0_bias_neutral)\"><path d=\"M16.1603 12.7942L16.8923 15.5263L15.8923 17.2583L11.5622 14.7583L8.56218 19.9545L7.19615 20.3205L6.83013 18.9545L9.83013 13.7583L5.5 11.2583L6.5 9.52628L9.23205 8.79423L12.7321 2.73205L11.866 2.23205L12.866 0.5L21.5263 5.5L20.5263 7.23205L19.6603 6.73205L16.1603 12.7942ZM8.96817 10.9513L14.4241 14.1013L14.0032 12.5304L17.9282 5.73205L14.4641 3.73205L10.5391 10.5304L8.96817 10.9513Z\" fill=\"#3B82F6\"\/><\/g><\/svg><\/div><div class=\"fxc-block-bias__label\"><b>Bias: Neutral to Bearish (Earnings-Dependent)<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2022 Direction driven by Nasdaq<br>\u2022 Earnings = primary catalyst<br>\u2022 Vulnerable to tech-led downside<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"fxc-block-bottom-line\"><div class=\"fxc-block-bottom-line__title\">Bottom Line &#8211; GOld &amp; Bitcoin<\/div><div class=\"fxc-block-bottom-line__body\">\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The market is not pricing geopolitics as a bullish gold catalyst, but through the inflation channel\u2014via higher oil, elevated yields, and a firm dollar. As long as this dynamic holds, gold remains under pressure and rallies are likely to be sold.<\/strong><br><br><strong>At the same time, Bitcoin continues to track equity markets, with earnings acting as the primary driver of direction. Until yields decline or a clear risk-off regime emerges, gold stays biased lower, while Bitcoin remains conditional on broader risk sentiment.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">THE WEEK AHEAD<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:14px\">Keep tabs on all the events that may impact the markets through our AI-powered economic calendar, powered by <strong>Acuity<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<style>\n.wp-block-button {\npadding: 0px !important\n}\n<\/style>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-horizontal is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-fill\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-white-color has-dark-blue-300-background-color has-text-color has-background has-link-color has-small-font-size has-custom-font-size wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/4xc.com\/acuity-economic-calendar\/calendar\/\" style=\"border-radius:5px;border: 1px solid #55657B;\nbackground: #131B28;\">OPEN CALENDAR<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-default\"\/>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-steel-grey-100-color has-alpha-channel-opacity has-steel-grey-100-background-color has-background is-style-wide\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-default\"\/>\n\n\n\n<style>\nimg {\n    object-fit: contain;\n}\nstrong {\n    font-weight: bold !important;\n}\n.fxc-takeaways-list:nth-of-type(2) li:first-child {\n    padding-left: 0px !important;\n    list-style: none;\n}\n\n@media (max-width: 600px) {\n    .wp-block-media-text.is-stacked-on-mobile>.wp-block-media-text__media {\n        grid-column: 1;\n        grid-row: 1;\n        max-width: 100px;\n        margin-bottom: 24px;\n    }\n    .wp-block-media-text>.wp-block-media-text__content {\n        padding: 0 !important;\n    }\n}\n<\/style>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-media-text is-stacked-on-mobile\" style=\"grid-template-columns:15% auto\"><figure class=\"wp-block-media-text__media\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"140\" height=\"141\" src=\"https:\/\/4xc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/about-author.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-54540 size-full\"\/><\/figure><div class=\"wp-block-media-text__content\">\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>ABOUT THE AUTHOR<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:16px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:13px\">Tamas Horvath is a former London fixed-income trader and the founder of Alpha FX Academy, where he delivers professional mentorship and training in forex, commodities, indices, and gold.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:12px\"><strong>PLEASE READ:<\/strong> This material is provided for marketing purposes and follows the general principles applicable to marketing communications under MiFID II, however, 4XC is not regulated under MiFID II and is not subject to its requirements. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of its dissemination. This newsletter is intended exclusively for our registered clients and contains market analysis that does not constitute personalized investment advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold is not trading geopolitical risk as a bullish catalyst \u2014 it is trading it through the inflation channel.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":[],"fxc_market_category":[63],"fxc_market_tag":[],"class_list":["post-55386","fxc_capital_markets","type-fxc_capital_markets","status-publish","hentry","fxc_market_category-capital-markets-outlook"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Gold &amp; Bitcoin : Selloff Ahead | 4XC<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/4xc.com\/news\/capital-markets-outlook\/gold-bitcoin-selloff-ahead\/\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/4xc.com\\\/news\\\/capital-markets-outlook\\\/gold-bitcoin-selloff-ahead\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/4xc.com\\\/news\\\/capital-markets-outlook\\\/gold-bitcoin-selloff-ahead\\\/\",\"name\":\"Gold &amp; 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